Holding the Olympic Games in Beijing was always going to be
controversial. China's leaders are not usually ignorant of history.
They know what happened when the Games were held in South Korea and
Mexico: running, jumping, diving and swimming were accompanied by
protesting.
There are bound to be protests on victors' rostrums
and on the streets in Beijing in August. After all, is no athlete in
the world a member of Falun Gong or a subscriber to the literary output
of Human Rights Watch and Amnesty International? All those of us who
wish China well hope that any protests are handled with dignity and
restraint. That will be one way to show how China is changing. There
will be 20-30,000 foreign journalists in Beijing to report whatever
happens.
But for China the risk of embarrassment is greatly
outweighed by the chance to celebrate the country's re-emergence as a
great global power. China's history in most of the past two centuries
is best passed over in sympathy. Ravaged by Western powers, including
Britain, invaded by Japan and tormented by warlords and the worst
excesses of Maoism, the Chinese missed out on both stability and
prosperity for more than 150 years. But since the Deng-ist reforms of
the 1980s, the Chinese economy has taken wing. Only 40 or so years
since the Great Famine and the Cultural Revolution, China has turned
itself into the world's workshop - big importer and exporter, lender of
first resort to the American Treasury and banks. It is no surprise that
China thinks that economic success is worth celebrating with more than
a few fireworks.
When the first visitor from China, Shen Fuzong,
came to Oxford in 1687 to catalogue the Chinese holdings in the
Bodleian Library, his country was the greatest economy in the world. So
it has been for 18 out of the past 20 centuries. Barring a calamity, it
will be again before the middle of this century, certainly in overall
size though not in wealth per head.
This has been a momentous transition. China is not a superpower.
There is only one of those, America, with mastery of the global commons
and with a political, security, commercial and cultural reach that
matters everywhere. Yet China has become a hugely significant world
player: its economic might has political consequences. There is hardly
a world problem that can be solved unless China is involved.
I
find it difficult to understand why some people regard the rise of
China as a threat. China's success is good for the world. One of the
main contributors to the rapid economic growth from 2001-2007 - despite
terrorism, wars and the rise in the price of oil - was that China and
India had joined the more open world economy. Would the rest of us be
better off if China was still dirt poor? Would we be well served by a
collapse of the Chinese economy? It is lousy economics to argue that
when China gets richer, the rest of us automatically get poorer.
Not
do I share the view that the century ahead will inevitably see a
hegemonic struggle between the US and China. That is not inevitable,
and it is certainly not desirable. What we may well see for a while is
a half-hearted attempt to challenge the model of liberal and democratic
capitalism that America and Europe have pioneered. I do not myself
believe that freedom will lose in that peaceful encounter.
What
is clear is that we should seek to work with, not against, China. That
does not mean giving up our own views on human rights and the rule of
law. Chinese officials are often contemptuous of those who give the
impression that they are prepared to sacrifice what they really believe
for some usually illusory gain. But China deserves the respect of
trying to understand and know it better. This is an area where all
world-class universities have an important role to play.
At
Oxford University today there are more than 750 students from China,
including Hong Kong. That number has grown from 89 in 1996-97. Only
America has a larger number of international students at the
university. More than 40 per cent are undergraduates and 60 per cent
are studying for degrees in mathematics and physical and life sciences.
They make a significant contribution to the life of the university. A
great university should want to attract the best students and
researchers from around the world. I would like to see the number of
our Chinese students continue to grow.
To attract more interest
from China, we have to show more interest in China. That is what we are
doing this week with the launching of a world-leading centre for
scholarship on China that will bring together the work of our
outstanding academics on literature, the arts, history as well as
public health, migration and public sector management.
This
work has attracted to Oxford senior Chinese officials from the cities,
the provinces and the central governments for training courses and
studies in comparative government. This year we will launch a one-year
MSc course in Modern Chinese Studies. We have opened a new office in
Hong Kong to keep in touch with our 1,600 alumni there and on the
mainland, and the Oxford University Press, with a headquarters also in
Hong Kong, will publish 500 new titles this year.
When the last
firework explodes at the end of the Games, China will be left not only
with the bills and the cleaning up, but with a formidable agenda of
domestic problems: from social equity to the management of
urbanisation, from the environment to efforts at political change. I
hope that, at Oxford, we will teach many more young Chinese to find out
more about our own value systems, and continue to collaborate with
Chinese universities and think- tanks in finding the best solutions.
Lord Patten of Barnes is Chancellor of the University of Oxford and a former Governor of Hong Kong