
THIRTY-SIX years ago, Alan Kay, a computer scientist, published a rough
sketch of his Dynabook portable computer, establishing the ideal of
ever more intimate personal computers.
During the next decade, Mr. Kay’s tablet design, at 9 inches by 12
inches by 3/4 inch, morphed into today’s ubiquitous laptop form-factor
— a term used by consumer electronics specialists to describe the
different sizes of various gadgets.
Since then, there has been
a proliferation of gadgets of every size and shape, but to date only
one other form-factor has established itself as a generic one: the
palm-size or hand-held device that began as the Palm
Pilot personal digital assistant designed by the Palm Computing
co-founders Jeff Hawkins and Donna Dubinsky. An endless array of
popular products, from BlackBerrys to iPhones, are descended from the
Palm.
This portable world is now neatly broken into gadgets that
fit comfortably in your pocket and devices that snuggle equally
comfortably on your lap.
Is there room for a third category? Perhaps a new class of consumer gadgets that fits somewhere between hand-held and laptop?
For
want of a better description, I propose that we label this
jacket-pocket form-factor the iMoleskine, after the Hemingway-esque
notebooks that writers favor.
To date, the best example of the proto-Moleskine future is the Amazon
Kindle book reader, which is the size of a paperback book. A quirky
first-generation effort, the device has been criticized as having an
odd user interface design and a flickering display. Because of the
company’s endless front-page promotional efforts on its Web store,
however, the Kindle seems headed for nichedom.
Intel certainly wants us to believe that there is more room in the middle.
Last
month, at a splashy forum in China for developers, the company
initiated its effort to create a category for Mobile Internet Devices,
or M.I.D.’s, for those of this middle size. If you remember Microsoft’s
abortive effort around the Ultra Mobile PC brand in early 2006, you
will have a good sense of the size of an M.I.D. (though it wasn’t
called one). Introduced with a painfully hip viral marketing campaign
called Oragami, the initial round of U.M.P.C.’s landed with a
resounding thud. Entering text and moving the pointer on the screen
were laborious, and text was so tiny as to be unreadable.
Still,
Intel has persevered, arguing that there is a “use case” — the
technology industry loves jargon — based on the intersection of
increasingly accessible broadband wireless networks and the Web. We are
going to want the Web wherever we are. Think location, location,
location.
As a consequence, the Intel executives assert, the
tiny cellphone display, which was ideal for viewing an 11-digit phone
number or several lines of e-mail or text messaging, will be
relentlessly stretched like taffy in all directions.
A cynic
might argue that the real reason for Intel’s sudden enthusiasm for the
M.I.D. stems from the reality that its recently introduced Atom
microprocessor is stuck in a no man’s land between laptop and cellphone
chips. It will be another two years before Intel has a chip that will
bring the Windows-compatible world to the palm of your hand. So, what
to do for now, if your chips are too power-hungry to squeeze into the
cellphone market, currently dominated by microprocessor chips licensed
from ARM, the British chip company? If you have lemons, make lemonade!
Initially,
however, I bought into the M.I.D. idea. It seemed that small screens
and pico-size keyboards were ill matched for the ubiquitous Web. A slim
paperback book-size computer, perhaps with a Bluetooth headset to
transform it into a mobile phone, might comprise the ultimate Dynabook.
The
sticking point in that argument is that laptops themselves are
relentlessly slimming down. If you’re carrying a backpack, you can now
choose among a range of ultralight laptops from Apple, Lenovo, Hewlett-Packard and Sony, as well as newcomers like Asus that are less noticeable than the four- and five-pound bricks of just a year ago.
Indeed,
the hottest category is machines like the Asus Eee PC and Everex
Cloudbook, which sit on the dividing line between the laptop and M.I.D.
worlds. Currently the Eee PC has a 7-inch screen and a keyboard that is
just a bit too small to be really comfortable. My guess is that this
kind of sub-ultralight laptop will grow toward a screen size of 9 or 10
inches and become thinner — moving in a laptop direction.
To be
sure, the caveat in all of this is that Intel may be correct in Asia,
where space is at much more of a premium than it is in the United
States. There are also wild cards like voice recognition that might
change the equation, but conversational voice interaction with a
portable computer is still probably half a decade or more in the future.
At
one time, I thought that an M.I.D.-size slate might prove the perfect
compromise: a jack-of-all-trades media player, Web browser,
communicator. I even dared to dream that it might become the perfect
canvas to help resurrect my industry in a post-paper era. It’s probably
just a daydream.
After all, I’ve been struck recently to see that when Web sites like Amazon, Facebook and Twitter are redesigned for the iPhone,
the user experience is actually better than on a full Web screen. It
turns out that a high-resolution, palm-size, three-and-a-half-inch
screen is just fine for seeing what your friends are up to, and for
reading your e-mail and even your newspaper.